The Iran War May Come Down to One Brutal Question: Who Runs Out of Missiles First?

Who runs out of the ammo first?

Western intelligence assessments indicate that Iran’s ballistic missile arsenal has been cut roughly in half, from an estimated 2,500 projectiles to around 1,200, with only about 100 operational launchers still believed to be functional.

For a regime that spent decades building its missile program as the backbone of its regional deterrence, the depletion represents a profound strategic setback. Increasingly, the conflict is no longer just about technology, strategy, or battlefield maneuvering.

It is about ammunition math. Here’s who has the upper hand.